Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys

Daria Kasatkina

AUS

2

Win

Played

10

Win

Age

1.70m

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$10.2M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Madison Keys

USA

2

Win

Played

10

Win

Age

1.70m

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$10.2M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 10 Keys

The last match between Madison Keys and Daria Kasatkina was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 09-01-2025, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-1 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Kasatkina	2
Keys	10

Last 10 H2H Matches:

(QF) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-09-25)

Stats

Madison Keys

Daria Kasatkina

(F) Rothesay International - Eastbourne(07-01-23)

Stats

Madison Keys

Daria Kasatkina

(QF) Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston(04-07-23)

Stats

Daria Kasatkina

Madison Keys

D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys H2H Profile

D. Kasatkina	Stats	M. Keys
$10,172,432	Career Prize Money	$20,819,148
62.83% (404-239)	Career Total W/L	64.47% (421-232)
1	Clay	0
0	Grass	1
1	Hard	9
15	Titles	14
2	Total H2H Matches	10
46.34% (19-22)	YTD Win/Loss	74.00% (37-13)
0	YTD Titles	2

D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Daria Kasatkina has won 36.44% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 41.30%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Daria Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 54.05% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 49.15%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.38% and 30.42% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Daria Kasatkina has saved 43.29% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 56.51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Daria Kasatkina has won 50.00% of matches played (W/L 24/24), with Madison Keys winning 74.00% (W/L 37/13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Daria Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 136/60), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 184/135). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
Player level: In the last year, Daria Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 47.37% of matches (W/L 9/10), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70.00% of matches (W/L 14/6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Daria Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 66.42 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 47.08.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Daria Kasatkina has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Daria Kasatkina has converted 43.86% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 36.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

Recent Performance Stats

D. Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025
R2 Sonay KartalS. Kartal	L	6-3 6-0	Stats
Korea Open - Seoul - 15-09-2025
R2 Katerina SiniakovaK. Siniakova	L	7-6(2) 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R3 Naomi OsakaN. Osaka	L	6-0 4-6 6-3	Stats
R2 Kamilla RakhimovaK. Rakhimova	W	6-2 4-6 7-5	Stats
R1 Elena Gabriela RuseE. Gabriela	W	7-5 6-1	Stats

View All

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

D. Kasatkina	Stats	M. Keys
62.83% (404/239)	YTD Win/Loss	64.47% (421/232)
59.13% (884/611)	Sets Win/Loss	62.39% (934/563)
53.81% (7349/6309)	Games Win/Loss	54.70% (7680/6361)
57.68% (184/135)	Hard Win/Loss	64.12% (252/141)
69.39% (136/60)	Clay Win/Loss	64.47% (98/54)
68.12% (47/22)	Indoor Hard W/L	53.13% (17/15)
62.71% (37/22)	Grass Win/Loss	71.05% (54/22)
0.13	Aces Per Game	0.42
855	Aces Total	2887
0.34	Double Faults Per Game	0.2
2255	Total Double Faults	1397
1:25:54	Average Match Time	1:19:25
294.58	Average Opponent Rank	348.5
68% (26500/39180)	1st Serve %	63% (25438/40308)
61% (16085/26500)	1st Serve Win %	69% (17455/25438)
43% (5452/12676)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (7145/14853)
49% (2651/5407)	Break Points Won % (Total)	44% (2116/4827)
48% (18937/39864)	Return Points Win %	43% (18047/41504)
61.54% (64/40)	Slam W/L	70.86% (124/51)
52.25% (93/85)	Masters W/L	56.31% (116/90)
83.33% (5/1)	Cups W/L	44.44% (4/5)
64.21% (174/97)	Main Tour W/L	66.32% (126/64)
79.41% (54/14)	Challenger W/L	64.91% (37/20)
87.50% (14/2)	Futures W/L	87.50% (14/2)
63% (397/634)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	65% (417/641)
100% (1/1)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	25% (1/4)
49% (56/114)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (102/177)
61% (134/218)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (104/196)
91% (360/327)	1st Set Won, Won Match	87% (425/369)
9% (360/32)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (425/55)
27% (282/75)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (228/51)